I was just reading this article in the Boston Herald (Dec 14, 2021), which 'discusses' the recent statistics for the week in Massachusetts, and I felt like the writer was trying hard to be dishonest. I felt like they were giving the reader percentages that they didn't need, and trying to spread out other data so as not to be easily seen next to each other, lest someone might see some truth.
So I decided to take a look at the figures (I'm no professional mathematician by the way, lol).
I now have some questions.
The data I will use is sourced from the latest Boston Herald article I was reading, linked below, which itself is sourcing Massachusetts state government data:
https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/12/14/massachusetts-reports-4039-new-coronavirus-cases-highest-daily-death-count-in-9-months/
Question 1:
If there are "11,431 breakthrough cases (BC) during the last week" in Massachusetts, and in "... the weekly breakthrough report, the state said there have been 2,966 hospitalizations..." among breakthrough cases (HBC), does that mean over 25% of breakthrough cases end up in hospital?
(Math: 100/11,431x2,966=25.947%)
Question 2:
The article further goes on to say: the "state has reported 699 breakthrough deaths" (I imagine this is in total, and not needed for this particular equation), and that there was "a one-week increase of 52 deaths - down from the previous weekly increase of 61 deaths."... So let's say an average of 57 weekly deaths among breakthrough cases (DBC) if we round up.
So if 57 breakthrough cases died (DBC) in the last week out of 11,431 breakthrough cases (BC) confirmed in that time frame, does that mean, statistically at least, almost 0.5%, or 1/200 BC's have died?
(Math: 100/11,431x57=0.498%)
Question 3:
And if there have been 2,966 HBC's, and 57 (DBC) this last week, does that mean that, statistically speaking, about 2%, or 1/50 BC's who got hospitalized, have died?
(Math: 100/2,966x57=1.921%)
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The Boston Herald article has left me with more questions than it answered (if it answered any?).
Please, mathematicians, correct me where I'm wrong. I'm humble enough, I can take it. I'm just asking questions. Use the comments to discuss your thoughts.
- Britt Steffens
Please, mathematicians, correct me where I'm wrong. I'm humble enough, I can take it. I'm just asking questions. Use the comments to discuss your thoughts.
- Britt Steffens
A screenshot of the article is available below.
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